By Meir Journo, our military and security commentator

Since the Morag axis has become a major stumbling block on the way to a ceasefire and the release of the 51 hostages (Hadar Goldin and the 50 hostages since October 7), the US has in recent days proposed a solution that may save the ceasefire negotiations: providing a targeted American guarantee to Hamas regarding the Morag axis, and Israel's withdrawal from the axis after 60 days. We do not know whether the guarantee will be valid, even if the negotiations do not end after 60 days; therefore, the question remains whether the guarantee will oblige Israel to withdraw from the Morag axis (according to the 1^st guarantee) and yet not to renew the war (according to the American guarantee to end the war). According to a source we quoted last week, Benjamin Netanyahu will not agree to withdraw from the security zone (the perimeter) at the end of the war, in accordance with Hamas' demand to return to the October 6 lines, and Israel may therefore return to the war at the end of the temporary ceasefire and certain negotiations that will follow; as stated, we do not know whether in such a case Israel will withdraw from the Morag axis, and then, with the renewal of the war, return to it.

The details we now know are that Benjamin Netanyahu does indeed intend to pursue a temporary 60-day ceasefire, and indeed intends to bring it to fruition; Netanyahu may even agree to the American guarantee regarding the Morag axis, and perhaps he even had a part in formulating it; We also know that Netanyahu does not intend to withdraw from the security zone (the perimeter) under any circumstances, and it is possible that, against this backdrop, he will even resume the war after 60 days, plus an additional period of negotiations that will follow; in such a case, the fanatic government will demand the establishment of a military government and increased efforts for "voluntary emigration." (See today's main story, the expansion on war crime known as "voluntary emigration"). Regarding the release of prisoners, Hamas insists on the release of Marwan Barghouti. In Israel, it is understood that the significance of releasing Barghouti is the rescue of Hamas from the predicament it fell into following the war it initiated, and the historic establishment of a PLO in which Fatah and Hamas will be present, and in which the leadership will be shared by both sides and will probably be hawkish towards Israel.