Israel's part in the reconciliation between Haniyeh and Sinwar

Hamas and Iran agree that hostages should not be released before the end of the war. The coordination may cause the release of hostages to be subordinated to regional Iranian interest

עיתון בין אויבים

A newspaper among enemies

The current coordination between Iran and Hamas, which expresses a fusion of the rift between Sinwar and Haniyeh, and an updated position common to both, gives Iran a real presence in a future deal for the release of hostages, and the subordination of such a deal to Iranian interests. This move even implies that the Iranian response to the killing of 7 senior members of the Revolutionary Guards in Syria will prefer the position of stopping the war, over destructive revenge, which will force a regional war on the Middle East. It is therefore possible that the Iranian response will be measured, such that it will allow Israel to respond moderately in Lebanon or Syria and will not oblige it to respond in Iran.


By Mati Cohen 


Fatah told us at the end of the week that now, Hamas and Iran are coordinating again, and are working together to end the war. This coordination has a new regional significance, after on the one hand Iran has committed to Hamas to act to end the war, and on the other hand Iran will consequently have a presence in the hostage deal with Israel. This commitment will likely also have an impact on Iran's military response to Israel after the assassination of senior Quds Force officials in Damascus attributed to Israel. Today, an article titled "An attack does not have to lead to a regional war" was published in the Iranian press and it reflects, in the eyes of the writers, the balanced Israeli position before and during the war, between the desire to attack Iran and Israel's limitations regarding such an attack, military security and policy limitations that require it to balance. The newspaper hints in the article that this position is also the position of Iran. It is therefore possible that the article, like the agreement with Hamas, indicates the nature of the Iranian response, which will be relatively moderate, in a way that will allow the Islamo-Nazi axis to return to discussions on ending the war.

Hamas received the renewed relevance as a gift, following Israel's inability to decide on the civil government in Gaza. The chaotic Israeli political behavior that is clearly contrary to Western interests, without being able to explain it in rational terms, along with the continued military attack on Hamas (even if it is very moderate now), has degraded Israel to a historic political low in which the political world has united against it, and is now nearing the end of the war, contrary to the Israeli interest; Western political behavior, if successful, could save Hamas from the defeat inflicted on it by the IDF. This new relevance of Hamas brought a closeness between Hamas leaders Haniyeh and Sinwar, who are now striving together to end the war, when their hand and Iran's hand will continue to hold together the fate of the abductees. Hamas positions therefore returned to the text that preceded the negotiations with Israel mediated by Egypt and Qatar, according to which the Islamic Nazi organization demands an end to the war, and the withdrawal of the IDF from the Gaza Strip. The West is trying to exert heavy, but measured, pressure on Hamas through the mediators, and on Iran, to bring about the release of the abductees as a condition for the end of the war. Will this condition also dissolve? This largely depends on Israel's policy actions regarding Gaza.