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24.09.2023

Editorial

Netanyahu's balloon was blossomed (also) in the sky of the
United Nations

עיתון בין אויבים

A newspaper among enemies

Binyamin Netanyahu's foolish policy has since 1996 pushed Iran to become a nuclear threshold country; Now Netanyahu's policy may also lead Saudi Arabia to become a nuclear threshold country. It is possible that the dullness of diagnosis that has attacked America, in relation to the Middle East in recent decade, leads it, in its weakness in the region, to think that a nuclear threat balance between Saudi Arabia and Iran will resolve the Iranian bomb crisis, without America having to disarm Iran by force, and perhaps she is even right from the narrow angle of America; But Israel is not a tool for the use of a desperate person like Netanyahu who now needs immediate success and may agree to Saudi nuclearization even with an irresponsible hint;  A nuclear threat balance is perhaps a reasonable solution for America following its weakening in the Middle East, and its desire to win the Ukraine-Russia war, but for Israel it is disastrous; Saudi Arabia chose the Iranian orientation at the beginning of this year as a strategic choice; Any reference to it must therefore come from this point of assumption. And one more thing should be said here: Saudi Arabia's strategic choice is not a whim, and it mainly stems from its assessments of the weakening of the US in the Middle East; Saudi Arabia would perhaps have remained on the Israeli-American side of the orientation, had it believed that the US deeply understands what is happening here, since China, Russia and Iran they bought a hold on the entire northern side of the Middle East, including a significant military hold there, while America's military hold, the conceptual and thought, disintegrated. This recognition was opened up in Saudi Arabia by the Iranian terrorist regime's attack on it in 2019, an attack which at once shut down about half of the Saudi oil production.

The current peace antics of the Saudi prince therefore, including the interview on the Fox network, express in our estimation a momentary unity of interests between Biden, Netanyahu and the Saudi prince. Biden needs the Saudi peace bubble to win a second term, Netanyahu needs excitement in Israel to rise from the abyss into which he was thrown when he sought to turn the regime in Israel into a dictatorship (and he is still seeking, and he will use the Saudi balloon that blossomed in the sky of the United Nations for this purpose), and the Saudi prince needs to bring an achievement that will strengthen his claim to the Saudi crown: to get approval for Saudi nuclear development without giving anything away. In the Saudi oligarchic royal puzzle, Prince Bin Salman's chance of becoming king is not bad, but it is also not perfect. There is a good chance that we will wake up one morning and hear that the violent prince has been moved aside by a prince more ambitious than him with a wide support of his own. Prince bin Salman is not the king of Saudi Arabia, and in the sense of the Saudi authority, the validity of his decisions is great, but it is still partial.

After a period, only journalists will remember this tripartite initiative that flourished accompanied by Netanyahu's touching speech in a hall thirsty for heroic speeches, and when it turns out that it ran aground, it will be completely natural. On the other hand, if Netanyahu gives Biden the consent of Israel to examine Saudi nuclearization, or if he has already given, even with a thin hint, and even with vague and seemingly non-binding wording, Israel will pay a heavy price for this for generations; It will take time for Israel to reach a decision to evacuate the settlers from the West Bank; In this way, Saudi Arabia and Iran may lose patience, mainly in order not to fight each other, and the result will be the turning of two nuclear warheads towards Israel, Riyadh and Tehran; This could also be a Sunni Shiite initiative for Islamic reconciliation in the Middle East on Israel's back.

 

Mati Cohen