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14.04.2025

עיתון בין אויבים

A newspaper among enemies

New Saudi proposal: Less than a state for the Palestinians, but more than the PA, in exchange for normalization, reconstruction and a moderate political axis, versus an Iranian or Turkish axis

The Saudi proposal was prepared in cooperation with Biden's US and was offered to Abu Mazen during his visit to Saudi Arabia in August 2024; this means that the Trump administration is now considering whether to adopt it (see today's editorial on the Turkish ultimatum by Meir Gurno, our military commentator). The Saudi prince outlined three main points to Abbas, to which the US also agreed: 1. Less than a state for the Palestinians, but more than an authority 2. Deep reform of the Palestinian leadership and government institutions 3. Normalization with Israel, and the establishment of the Abrahamic Axis – a moderate axis that will express an advanced, technologically civil Middle East, and will be a counterweight to any attempt to perpetuate the wars. In our assessment, Turkey is aware of the move and is trying to thwart it, also through Hamas (see the main story today)

A Palestinian source said yesterday that it is important to note that five countries that have signed an agreement with Israel did not stop exporting food to it during the war; Sudan, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and the United Arab Emirates. This is no coincidence, he said, and is related to Saudi Arabia's attempt, in collaboration with the US, to find a formula that would make Israel end the Israeli Palestinian conflict, strengthen the Abrahamic Axis in the countries from Saudi Arabia to the Maghreb, and prevent the establishment of a war axis led by Turkey.

By Mati Cohen

Saudi Arabia has formulated a new proposal with the US to end the Israeli Palestinian conflict. Saudi Arabia submitted the proposal to the Palestinian Authority and Israel, but so far Israel has not responded. According to a Palestinian source in Ramallah, the Palestinian Authority will accept the Saudi proposal; Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas heard the details of the proposal from Saudi Crown Prince bin Salman during their meeting last August in Riyadh. According to the Palestinian source, Mahmoud Abbas responded positively to the proposal.

The reason Israel did not respond is probably because it is waiting to hear the new administration's position on the proposal, and also because of Turkey's strengthening, Israel would like to know which Trump will choose: The Turkish axis, which intends to govern the Middle East, or the Saudi axis, which is unlikely to take place, given the Netanyahu government's opposition to any Palestinian state structure. For now, the US is not forcing the new Saudi initiative on Israel. In our assessment, Trump is ignoring both points, as a policy, to pressure the parties.

Israel will receive normalization and guarantees for an end to the Israeli Palestinian conflict. Israel will be a crucial part of the moderate axis that will govern the Middle East and will include countries in the Maghreb, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other countries in the Persian Gulf. The Palestinians will receive a state without an army, which will rely for its security on the Arab countries of the axis, the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip,  and will commit to making deep reforms in the Palestinian institutions of government and Palestinian politics. The source did not mention Jerusalem, apparently because the Authority understands that in Jerusalem there can only be a compromise that is approved by the entire Israeli public, and not just by the government and the Knesset. In our assessment, the Israeli public is united in its position that it returned to its capital, the eternal capital, two thousand years after the expulsion of Rome.