www.tipp.co.il

11.08.2024

Hamas is waiting for the result of the Iranian attack

Yahya Sinwar in a double negotiation: with Israel he hardens positions, with the US moderates them, and allows America to bring an agreement

עיתון בין אויבים

A newspaper among enemies

 

The Israeli Palestinian Post

In the negotiations with Israel,

Yahya Sinwar remains in his positions, and he is not ready to compromise, an important Palestinian source told us. Sinwar agreed to a compromise on the Netsarim axis but did not change his positions regarding the Rafah crossing and the Philadelphy axis. Hamas will therefore respond negatively to Benjamin Netanyahu's new comments, said the source. He also said that Hamas refuses to discuss any Israeli presence in the Philadelphy area.

However, it now becomes clear that the strong things that Sinwar says to the mediators about his positions, he moderates very much in the conversation with the Americans; On a new secret channel (of which we do not know details beyond the fact that it exists), the Palestinian source said that: "A big deal is brewing that will include the cessation of the war." In this sense, Yahya Sinwar operates on two channels, obfuscating the negotiations (on the obfuscation see in the editorial); On the Israeli channel, he does not allow progress towards a deal, but on the American channel, he may allow the US to bring an exclusive deal to American diplomacy. Why do we say may? Because Sinwar is now awaiting the results of the Iranian attack against Israel, and he will not operate in the Israeli arena if the outcome of the attack is not clear, if at all there will be, and how much the expected attack will again devour the cards.

Assessment: Of course, one needs to be careful with this leak, as it meets Palestinian needs to drive a wedge between Israel and the US and may lead Netanyahu to harden positions in such a way that the Palestinians will improve their political status in the West.

On the other hand, this mode of operation is suitable for a Sinwar that can operate in several directions at the same time; The leak is said to have come from a reliable source.

Regarding the progress of Hamas' negotiations with the US, we do not have any specific information, except for the information according to which Yahya Sinwar may give the US the exclusive option to conclude an agreement in Gaza; that is, Sinwar may leave the Hamas compromise in the hands of the US. Sinwar's goal in this "gesture": that the US repay him by fulfilling its commitment to do everything possible to prevent the renewal of the war; but Sinwar is interested in another asset: quick American recognition of the change that he and Barghouti intend to bring to Palestinian politics, meaning that Sinwar would like the US to recognize the PLO Barghouti and he intend to establish in Ramallah under their joint leadership: Barghouti will be the showcase of the new Palestinian Authority, meaning he will head it and lead the PLO, but Sinwar will stand behind him in the same position as Barghouti.

We exclusively reported on Hamas's alliance with Barghouti extensively here starting in December 2022, until the last article about a month ago. We exclusively reported that Barghouti asked Sinwar to bring about his release in a prisoner deal; We reported during the war on Hamas's demand to release Barghouti in the prisoner deal, when Barghouti is placed at the top of the list demanded by Hamas. We also reported on the intention of the two Sinwar and Barghouti to take over the PLO, in a way that would restore Hamas rule through the back door. We also reported that Jibril Rajoub was Barghouti's emissary all this time at Hamas, and that Barghouti's instructions were received by Rajoub from the wife of Barghouti Fadua, who herself is a member of the highest bodies of the Palestinian political system and will even be part of the government of four in the new Palestinian Authority: Marwan Barghouti, Yahya Sinwar, Fadua Barghouti and Jibril Rajoub. Our exclusive report even clarifies Jibril Rajoub's recent statement that Yahya Sinwar is a "pragmatist."