The essential impact of Minister Gantz's invitation to the US, and of the entry of the US Air Force into Gaza's airspace, will deepen and develop, in our estimation, into limiting the power of the IDF to operate in the Strip, and limiting the maneuvering power of the Israeli government, including the military maneuvering power. In this sense, the American move, which was hinted at even before by imposing sanctions on Israeli citizens over the head of the Israeli government, will not only affect the maneuvering of the IDF in Gaza, but it may also affect Israel's duty in the eyes of most of the Israeli public to act against Hezbollah, and The Iranian Revolutionary Guards. This duty is becoming increasingly clear as being contrary to the American interest in preparing the Middle East for a wider war, in which the moderate Arab countries will have a central role than Israel's.

The first manifestation of the change in American interest in the Middle East was the American talks of the right to a Palestinian state after the Anthony Blinken Abu Mazen meeting in Ramallah, and the Palestinian demand for a "Balfour Declaration" which we exclusively reported here; Much to the Palestinian surprise, Blinken did not reject the demand outright; The declaration, if implemented, will substantially damage Israel's position in the Middle East and the world, and the demand that cuts across all Israeli governments, for direct and unconditional negotiations with the Palestinians. The fundamental requirement for the movement of a founding American vision statement is a Saudi demand, according to the Palestinian source.

The second expression is the aid drop, which limits the Air Force's freedom of action in Gaza, while Israeli hostages are still there, and the IDF needs freedom of action in the airspace. Jordan, through a Saudi demand, opened a path when it received limited Israeli permission to drop aid, and the US expanded (and will probably further expand) the way, apparently during a planned Saudi Jordanian American.

Another sign of the connection between the sharpening of American policy and the march of the Russian army in Ukraine, is the visit of the President of Ukraine to Saudi Arabia this week, to promote a ceasefire between Russia and his country.

Saudi Arabia's chance of achieving a ceasefire in Europe is zero (unless Russia tries to pull it from the American side to the Iranian-Russian axis), but the meeting distances Saudi Arabia (and its allies Jordan, the Palestinians, the Gulf states, and Egypt) from an Iranian-Russian orientation, in accordance with the American interest. For the time being, this policy does not take China off the fence towards its allies Iran and Russia, and even on the contrary, China may send a naval force to open the Bab al Mandav Straits. China continues for the time being to adhere to the San Francisco Conference agreements (see our archived report).

Netanyahu's fanatical extremist government paid no attention to the changing world, when it began in January 2023, attempts to change the regime in Israel to a dictatorship, thereby exposing Israel to attack. In April 2023, Iran and Hezbollah did conclude that Israel was weakened and could be destroyed, and Nasrallah announced that month that the war in Israel had already begun (see our archived report). When the attack began on October 7, the US rushed to send aircraft carriers to prevent Iran from overwhelming Israel, and at the same time tried to set up a Middle Eastern barricade against Iran and Russia. Israel could have participated in the American interest if only it had announced about a month and a half ago that Hamas had been defeated, and as a result Its announcement brings the Palestinian Authority into Gaza to complete the demilitarization of the Strip. However, Netanyahu was afraid that the government of the fanatics led by him would fall, following the opposition of Ben Gvir and Smotritz, and thus accelerated the moves of the USA that fundamentally harm the Israeli interest and Israel.