The basic facts before the arrogant declaration of war on Iran were before everyone. Iran has been defeated again and again since the IDF's response to the events of October 7 began; Israel could have attacked Iran immediately after Hamas agreed to disarm in January 2024 (see our exclusive report that was revealed to be true about two years later); if it had attacked, it would have received the support of the entire Western world, in destroying the Iranian regime and destroying the nuclear program; but the Israeli government did not attack for political reasons, for example, the desire to remove the stain of October 7 from it through a "complete victory." The current declaration of war on Iran came after two and a half years of war, and after an unprecedented public and economic effort; no Israeli government has previously embarked on a similar war campaign, not even in the War of Independence, in which the war was resumed after a long period of truce. Israel opposed the Palestinian Authority's entry into Gaza, and then it secretly agreed. President Trump demanded that Turkey be allowed into the Gaza Strip, Israel opposed, and then it agreed.Turkey supported Iran, and even The entire Muslim world was summoned to Istanbul in honor of Iran, after Iran's defeat in the 12-Day War, and then Turkey's support for Iran faded into silence, and it even "absorbed" an Iranian missile (I estimate that this was a prior agreement between Iran and Turkey to launch a light-to-intercept missile). The extension of the war did not mitigate the criticism leveled at the Israeli government for its responsibility for the October 7th blunder, and the government badly needed an alternative significant achievement, for example, declaring war on Iran.

In our assessment, the war against Iran is the brainchild of Benjamin Netanyahu, and it suited all the desires of all the other players in the region. Turkey could have achieved its entry into Gaza, provided it severed its alliance with Iran. President Trump could have brought Turkey into Gaza, and arranged the Middle East according to his illusions, if only he could get Netanyahu to agree to it. The Palestinian Authority agreed to wipe out Hamas in the West Bank, and reduce the pressure from the IDF if only Netanyahu agreed to its entry into Gaza. And Netanyahu was willing to pay, if he were given the defeat of Iran, which would overshadow all his failures for the next thousand years.

This is, in my opinion, the secret of the reckless war against Iran, at this time. It is completely justified, but it is completely out of time. And if it gets complicated, and Netanyahu orders the sending of a large delivery force to Iran, the danger to Israel's existence will become tangible again, as it was on October 7, and much more so.

Will Prime Minister Netanyahu send? If it were a month ago, I would have said that there was no chance of that because the IDF understood the current government's political motives well at the time, and refused to cooperate, in such a way that the arguments between the army and the government delayed dangerous military campaigns. But since the Israeli government declared war on Iran, the IDF has lost its sense of criticism, and it is almost uninhibited, while this is the most dangerous war campaign that Israel has embarked on, not only in this campaign, but ever; and the sense of military criticism? It should have been the most developed now of all that has been so far. But that is not the case. Therefore, our answer is that Netanyahu may indeed send a significant delivery force to Iran, a military move that may further abandon Israel's borders. See today in our main headline how dangerous such a move may be for Israel.

Mati Cohen