It is clear that the way to achieve victory and an end to the justified war against Iran is the surrender of the Iranian leadership, and its agreement to sign a nuclear/surrender agreement (although the goals of the war, such as overthrowing the regime, are even higher than that); the means of persuading Iran to surrender may be: Iranian masses who will rally around the leadership and force it to surrender. Israel is working in this direction through two fundamental goals, which are achievable, which, in addition to the American attack on the Iranian nuclear program, may drive the surrender process and arouse the masses in Iran towards overthrowing the regime: Israel has struck the most important figures in Iran, and is striking the missile systems; But for now, this action, and the US's apparent action against Iranian nuclear facilities and assets, are not leading to a result that brings the end of the war any closer, nor have they brought the declared, futile goal of regime change in Iran any closer. It is even possible that the actions of Israel and the US will achieve the opposite, igniting pride and patriotism on the part of the millions who brought radical Shiite Islam to power in 1979; Moreover, Iran responded with missiles of a superpower, launching missiles at five countries in the Middle East, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan and Saudi Arabia; and of course almost all over the State of Israel, and at American bases. At the same time, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz to make the war regional, and bring Russia, China and Turkey to its side. In our assessment, Turkey wants to come to Iran's aid openly, since Iran is part of the Islamic Middle East controlled by Turkey according to Erdogan's vision, but Ankara cannot speak freely because it may lose its new assets in the Gaza Strip, and the open check it now has with Trump and NATO. That is why Turkey is speaking out against the war through the mouth of the president of Turkish Cyprus. This week he said: "The American and Israeli attacks against Iran have increased the risk of sustainable peace in the region." As if the threat of destroying Israel did not do so China fears a war of attrition, and between the lines it emerges that this may be precisely where it is leading Iran, to force attrition on Israel and the US that could lead to a foot invasion, which could be a bloodbath, which would increase China's position in the Middle East without any effort; Russia is looking for a way out of the Ukraine war victoriously, through the blows being inflicted on Iran. The Kremlin spokesman announced that the Russian president "is holding a video call with permanent members of the Security Council, during which we will discuss the developing situation around Iran." This is apparently referring to China, whose moves are always slower than those of other powers, because it prefers to gain assets from the hands of the unwary without endangering its own assets. Putin is thereby creating an asset of intervention in the conflict between Israel and the US with Iran, which he will give up if the US convinces Ukraine to surrender to Russia. The war with Iran could therefore require an invasion of ground forces to subdue Iran, provided that Iran does not surrender to the bombings from the air, and provided that the regime is not in danger from the masses. Will the Israeli leadership then put the soul of the country at risk, and order an Israeli invasion force, alongside an American invasion force? In our assessment, such an entanglement could threaten Israel's existence; This political behavior of the Likud government in the October 7 War now seems to us to be a continuation of the Likud government of 1982, which sank Israel in bloody Lebanese mud for 18 years, and led to a deep internal crisis in Israel, similar to the social crisis that the Likud brought about in January 2023, when it decided to turn free Israel into a dictatorship, and led to a war following the crisis it forced: the Likud government could have ended the current war as soon as possible (and it could have ended the Lebanon War on the path that Prime Minister Begin had pledged: after a 40-kilometer occupation, that is, on the second day of the war); in January 2024, Israel could have ended the war in Gaza, because Hamas was defeated and agreed to disarm and disband its government, as we reported here exclusively. But the Israeli government prolonged the war, for political reasons, thereby preventing the IDF from an early timing of the destruction of the Iranian regime as early as early 2024; now the Likud is drowning Israel in another mud, a war that also has no key, just like the keyless Lebanon war; this is a war that could bring Israel to the brink of destruction again. For the second time since October 7, and by the same government.