The commander of the Iranian Navy (the Navy of the Iranian Army, not the Revolutionary Guards) announced this week a naval exercise in which unnamed "neighbouring countries" will take part. The manner of expression indicates an exercise that will reach as far as "oceanic regions," a hint at Yemen and the Horn of Africa and Somalia (it is worth checking in the field security arena how the commander of the Iranian Navy spoke about the Somaliland region almost simultaneously with the Israeli recognition of the country that separated from Somalia). In the Iranian manner of expression, there is an implicit threat of the appearance of Iranian warships in the Mediterranean Sea in an exercise with Turkey; We emphasize that this was not explicitly stated, but it is implied by the phrase "neighbouring countries," and by the emphasis that the exercise will be conducted "in neighbouring countries" and not "with neighbouring countries," without naming them. The Iranian Navy commander's words coincide with the words of the (moderate) Iranian president, according to which the country is at war with Israel. Since Iran is a defeated country, and its ability to prohibit war on Israel and the US is deeply in doubt, and since it no longer has the power (for now) to add the Iranian nuclear program to its threats, our assessment is that the threats, coordinated with Turkey, may have been coordinated with Foreign Minister Fidan's visit to Iran about a month ago, a Foreign Minister who, according to the nature of the current Turkish regime, serves as a kind of Minister of War; the Iranian move comes at the same time as an Iranian announcement in a government newspaper (which was quoted here last week) according to which Turkish President Erdogan may visit Iran. In our assessment, the purpose of the publications (including the Turkish ones, which we will detail later in the article) is to divert Israel's attention from Turkey's strengthening along Israel's borders, to the distant Persian Gulf and Iran, and even further afield, to Yemen and the Horn of Africa. Investing Israeli resources in the Horn of Africa could cause the Israeli security establishment to go into a state of dormancy. In the Golan Heights, Lebanon, and perhaps even surrender to President Trump in the Gaza Strip in exchange for a second joint attack on Iran. This means that Israel may agree to the entry of the Turkish army into Gaza, an event that would, in our assessment, lead to a regional war, with a country with a large amount of Armor and experience in armoured warfare, while the Israeli armoured corps has not yet been restored, after Benjamin Netanyahu reduced it, in violation of the law (see our series of investigations on the destruction of the armoured corps, June-August 2023). Israel's attention, which is currently focused on Turkey in the Syrian and Lebanese arenas, led to an attack on a post that Turkey established in cooperation with Russia in Beit Jen in the Quneitra region on Hezbollah infrastructure; Israel attacked the outpost very close to its establishment, an attack that slowed Turkey's expansion in Syria and the Golan Heights, including (slowing down) the supply of weapons that it intends to provide to the Syrian army; the assumption that the outpost was in its infancy allows both sides to publicly ignore the attack and leave it out of public attention, see our publication here on Turkey's intention to provide Syria with drones and missiles; the Turkish news agency Anadolu, this week, expressed outrage over the "attack on Quneitra" without specifying the nature of the attack and the exact scene of the attack. The agency's report also expressed subdued outrage over the "attack on a mosque in Homs." In Homs, let us recall, there was a large Hezbollah military infrastructure (an infrastructure that it received from Iran, as we published here exclusively in the past). In exchange for the infrastructure Turkey received from Hezbollah in the Golan Heights, President Erdogan recently warned Syria not to harm Hezbollah in Syria as well as in Lebanon (see our exclusive article on Erdogan's warning, TIPP archive, previous issues).